19:15 |
TheRaven |
To show that you can. |
19:15 |
GreenWolf |
like, the big advantage of nuclear thermal jet engines is that you don't need propellant |
19:15 |
EmberTech |
A demonstation of American technology |
19:15 |
BlackWing |
qptain_Nemo: bragging rights |
19:15 |
GreenWolf |
so you can fly them in any atmosphere |
19:15 |
qptain_Nemo |
:/ |
19:16 |
EmberTech |
Also, we had been unable to land probes on the moon so far |
19:16 |
EmberTech |
The Soviets had |
19:16 |
FFTransform |
"we choose to blow up the moon not because it is easy, but because it is hard" |
19:16 |
DrEdmonds |
'Yeah, humans destroyed their satellite, what you gonna do aliens" |
19:16 |
EmberTech |
*"because it is fucking awesome" |
19:16 |
qptain_Nemo |
bragging about your stupidity is a questionable choice |
19:16 |
GreenWolf |
"We choose to blow up the Moon because the Soviets are winning the space race. If we can't have the Moon, no one can!" |
19:16 |
BlackWing |
We don't have enough nuke to blow up the moon |
19:16 |
BlackWing |
sadly |
19:17 |
EmberTech |
There were proposals to go to the moon with Project Orion |
19:17 |
Takov |
We do |
19:17 |
GreenWolf |
no, but we could give it a good whupping |
19:17 |
Takov |
Or at least used |
19:17 |
DrEdmonds |
"Of course, with the money spent on the Nuke we could have sent a man to the moon first, but oh well" |
19:17 |
Takov |
to* |
19:17 |
BlackWing |
Takov: We have enough to blow a large crater in the moon, but not completely blow it up |
19:17 |
GreenWolf |
Takov: the gravitational binding energy of the moon is far far far greater than the energy in all our nukes |
19:17 |
EmberTech |
until the US government got cockblocked by the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty |
19:17 |
kaktus |
Afternoon, 19. |
19:17 |
Takov |
BlackWing: If you wanna be technical like that there's also not enough nukes to blow up Earth |
19:17 |
GreenWolf |
Cockblocking the US government/military is usually a good thing |
19:17 |
EmberTech |
GreenWolf which makes Halo's NOVA bomb simultaneously insane and glorious |
19:17 |
BlackWing |
EmberTech: That just means we can't weaponize space |
19:18 |
GreenWolf |
BlackWing: nuclear weaponize |
19:18 |
GreenWolf |
conventional weapons and lasers are totes okay |
19:18 |
BlackWing |
Takov: There isn't. But there is enough to destroy all live |
19:18 |
FFTransform |
afternoon kaktus |
19:18 |
BlackWing |
Thought those were covered as well. Or is that a separate treaty? |
19:18 |
GreenWolf |
.w Polyus (Spacecraft) |
19:18 |
Alexandra |
GreenWolf: The Polyus spacecraft (Russian: Полюс, pole), also known as Polus, Skif-DM, GRAU index 17F19DM, was a prototype orbital weapons platform designed to destroy SDI satellites with a megawatt carbon-dioxide laser. — https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polyus_%28spacecraft%29 |
19:19 |
GreenWolf |
Nope, there are no treaties preventing the weaponization of space |
19:19 |
GreenWolf |
what's stopping it is that there's not much point |
19:19 |
EmberTech |
I thought there was one, tho |
19:19 |
GreenWolf |
anti-ballistic missile treaties limit our anti-ICBM defenses |
19:19 |
GreenWolf |
so no SDI |
19:19 |
GreenWolf |
and if we need to shoot down a spy sat, we can use an anti-sat missile launched from a fighter jet |
19:20 |
GreenWolf |
and there's not really anything in space to fight over |
19:20 |
EmberTech |
yet |
19:20 |
GreenWolf |
because everything is either too far away, or so common to not be valuable |
19:20 |
EmberTech |
The moon has Helium-3 tho |
19:20 |
GreenWolf |
there are never going to be helium-3 resource conflicts |
19:21 |
BlackWing |
Yet |
19:21 |
BlackWing |
There will always be conflicts |
19:21 |
GreenWolf |
for one, the entire idea of mining helium-3 from the moon for fusion reactors is so ludicrous |
19:21 |
BlackWing |
Humans are conflicts |
19:21 |
EmberTech |
Also, there is a treaty saying you can't put nukes in space |
19:21 |
GreenWolf |
like, there's no way you could do that and get a net energy gain out of it |
19:22 |
GreenWolf |
and mineral resources are common as dirt |
19:22 |
GreenWolf |
there's an asteroid out in the Main Belt that contains more iron than all the iron in the earth's crust |
19:22 |
GreenWolf |
several orders of magnitude more |
19:23 |
famine_ |
Soulless |
19:23 |
famine_ |
e_e |
19:23 |
GreenWolf |
hell, even for minerals which are only found in small amounts in the core of asteroids, there are so many asteroids that your supply is practically limitless |
19:24 |
Soulless |
famine_: pm |
19:24 |
GreenWolf |
certainly, the available supply massively exceeds demand, and will continue to do so for centuries at the current rate of population growth |
19:24 |
|
* Decibelle is now known as Deci|AFK |
19:24 |
GreenWolf |
there is enough space for everyone |
19:25 |
BlackWing |
But I want more space! |
19:25 |
BlackWing |
FIRE ZE MISSILES! |
19:25 |
TheRaven |
The problem is that the resources to /get/ to space aren't really available to the public |
19:25 |
GreenWolf |
the only thing that could maybe be considered scarce are slots in geostationary orbit |
19:26 |
GreenWolf |
TheRaven: that's changing though |
19:26 |
GreenWolf |
the cost of launching a small satellite into orbit is now easily within the range of most university labs |
19:26 |
GreenWolf |
and even some (private and expensive) high schools |
19:27 |
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19:27 |
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19:27 |
GreenWolf |
actually, it's been that way for a while now, but we're seeing a surge in the volume of space launches, which means that it's easier for a uni to get a slot as a secondary or tertiary payload |
19:28 |
DrEdmonds |
Guys, is there any RP that operates in CET? |
19:28 |
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19:28 |
famine_ |
can i tell that i am a ghost IRL in The Leak |
19:28 |
GreenWolf |
DrEdmonds: the RPs don't really operate in timezones |
19:28 |
GreenWolf |
origins has people from all over |
19:28 |
GreenWolf |
including a bunch of europeans |
19:28 |
DrEdmonds |
I mean the chat ones |
19:28 |
TheRaven |
GreenWolf: yeah, but what you're talking about is stuff like asteroid mining, the tech for that will take a long-ass time to trickle down, if ever |
19:28 |
DrEdmonds |
Origins is a bit weird for me |
19:28 |
GreenWolf |
So do I |
19:29 |
GreenWolf |
TheRaven: true |
19:29 |
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19:29 |
DrEdmonds |
The whole idea of RP over the forums is weird to me |
19:29 |
GreenWolf |
but Musk has shaken up the market. He's forcing other launch providers to look at their costs and figure out how to cut them if they want to stay in business |
19:29 |
TheRaven |
…Origins is IRC-based |
19:30 |
Lily |
DrEdmonds: origins is- what raven said |
19:30 |
DrEdmonds |
Oh, then I mixed them up |
19:30 |
DrEdmonds |
Great, I'll surely be joining a session or two |
19:30 |
BlackWing |
I don't see asteroid mining till we have a a decent enough space station or at least a Lunar base |
19:30 |
GreenWolf |
although Arianespace is getting hit the hardest |
19:30 |
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19:31 |
GreenWolf |
BlackWing: a lunar base is not a necessary requirement for asteroid mining |
19:31 |
DrEdmonds |
I don't see asteroid mining until people realize we are running out of resources |
19:31 |
GreenWolf |
in fact, there's no real point to building a lunar base |
19:31 |
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19:31 |
GreenWolf |
any minerals worth getting on the moon can be gotten easier from asteroids |
19:31 |
GreenWolf |
without having to fight against a huge gravity well |
19:31 |
Lily |
Wolf but it'd be /cool/ |
19:31 |
BlackWing |
Not just because it's cool |
19:31 |
Lily |
So it's worth it |
19:32 |
BlackWing |
And I'm not just talking about mining purposes |
19:32 |
GreenWolf |
this is why space exploration basically died in the 70s |
19:32 |
GreenWolf |
because you people want things that are cool, not things that are practical and important |
19:32 |
BlackWing |
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colonization_of_the_Moon#Advantages_and_disadvantages |
19:32 |
GreenWolf |
the Moon is a distraction |
19:32 |
GreenWolf |
hell, settling on planets at all is a distraction |
19:33 |
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19:33 |
Lily |
I wasn't serious :p |
19:33 |
GreenWolf |
build some big self-sustaining stations/arkships and send them off into the cosmos |
19:33 |
DrEdmonds |
Unless it's required it really is a distraction |
19:33 |
TheRaven |
Asteroid mining has so much potential to be disruptive to Earth's economy, I can honestly see why nobody has seriously tried it |
19:34 |
GreenWolf |
Yeah |
19:34 |
GreenWolf |
There are some people who are pretty determined though |
19:34 |
DrEdmonds |
The whole concept of economy is a bit dumb for me |
19:34 |
BlackWing |
Cause no one wants to put in the capital necessary to even try to capture an NEA to start mining? |
19:34 |
GreenWolf |
the question is if world governments can act fast enough to step in before the economy crashes if those people manage to succeed |
19:35 |
GreenWolf |
BlackWing: because it would make mineral resources worthless |
19:35 |
DrEdmonds |
Like, it is based off of a shiny metal |
19:35 |
Silber |
DrEdmonds: what? |
19:35 |
GreenWolf |
massive surplus supply |
19:35 |
|
* Deci|AFK is now known as Decibelle |
19:35 |
GreenWolf |
actually, most economies are based off fist currencies now |
19:35 |
BlackWing |
You make it sound like a conspiracy against the concept, GreenWolf |
19:35 |
DrEdmonds |
Fist currencies? |
19:35 |
GreenWolf |
BlackWing: I mean, it kind of is |
19:36 |
GreenWolf |
*fiat |
19:36 |
GreenWolf |
Like, the people who have the technology to mine asteroids |
19:36 |
GreenWolf |
would also be the people who would lose a shit ton of money from asteroid mining |
19:36 |
TheRaven |
Basically every major corporation and government has a vested interest in not letting asteroid mining become a thing. |
19:36 |
GreenWolf |
also, government regulation is almost certain, because the alternative is a world wide economic collapse |
19:36 |
DrEdmonds |
But, of course, once they run out of resources, they will encourage it |
19:37 |
GreenWolf |
too late then |
19:37 |
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19:37 |
GreenWolf |
need resources to get to space |
19:37 |
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19:37 |
GreenWolf |
capitalism will doom this species to a single planet |
19:37 |
GreenWolf |
and thus extinction |
19:37 |
DrEdmonds |
Well, if they are dumb enough not to at least make a stockpile, they don't deserve to get off this planet |
19:37 |
PossessedInkieShark |
YAY |
19:38 |
DrEdmonds |
I agree |
19:38 |
GreenWolf |
Fortunately, it looks like there might be enough people with the means and motivation to do what needs to be done who don't care about crashing the economy |
19:38 |
GreenWolf |
we'll see |
19:38 |
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19:38 |
Fiesta |
HEYA |
19:39 |
GreenWolf |
best case, short-term, would be governments stepping in to regulate the influx of asteroid metal into terran markets |
19:39 |
DrEdmonds |
Which will turn into a worst case scenario pretty fast |
19:39 |
GreenWolf |
keep supplies artificially low to prevent a crash |
19:40 |
GreenWolf |
ehh, they would have a lot of motivation to not destroy the economy |
19:40 |
TheRaven |
That only requires one group refusing to play ball to bring the whole thing down, though |
19:40 |
GreenWolf |
yeah |
19:41 |
TheRaven |
And honestly, if you put the money into capturing a resource-rich asteroid and mining it, odds are you'll tell the government to get fucked |
19:41 |
DrEdmonds |
That's my point |
19:41 |
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19:41 |
GreenWolf |
the ideal thing would be if the supply was slowly but steadily increased over time, gradually reducing the costs of metals |
19:41 |
Takov |
GreenWolf: You're aware of all the difficulties of space flight right? |
19:41 |
GreenWolf |
until you hit post-scarcity |
19:41 |
GreenWolf |
Takov: very |
19:41 |
Lily |
Hey fiesta :p |
19:41 |
Takov |
And that post-scarcity is purely fiction? |
19:42 |
GreenWolf |
I mean, we have post-scarcity of lots of thing already |
19:42 |
GreenWolf |
air, for example |
19:42 |
BlackWing |
https://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-astronaut-scott-kelly-returns-safely-to-earth-after-one-year-mission |
19:42 |
Takov |
I guess you've never been to China |
19:42 |
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19:42 |
GreenWolf |
But yeah, when I say post-scarcity, I mean near post-scarcity |
19:42 |
Takov |
where at one point they had to pass out bottles of clean air because there was so much shit in the air |
19:42 |
Silber |
fist currency |
19:42 |
GreenWolf |
even in a society where all resources are not-scarce |
19:42 |
Silber |
"give me these goods or I'll punch you" |
19:43 |
DrEdmonds |
Lol |
19:43 |
GreenWolf |
you still have scarcity of time |
19:43 |
Takov |
"Post-scarcity" is not a term that should be used outside of fiction. |
19:43 |
|
BlackWing punches Silber and takes his stuff |
19:43 |
GreenWolf |
and thought |
19:43 |
GreenWolf |
Takov: It's an entirely valid economic term |
19:43 |
TheRaven |
Post-scarcity really applies to information now, as much as certain groups don't want it to |
19:44 |
Takov |
Yes, an utopian one |
19:44 |
Takov |
a* |
19:44 |
GreenWolf |
not really? |
19:44 |
Takov |
How is it not? |
19:45 |
GreenWolf |
Like, there's nothing inherently unobtainable about increasing supply of certain resources to the point where they have little intrinsic value |
19:46 |
GreenWolf |
Now, if we actually had asteroid mining, there would still be costs and such. But it would be for the time/effort needed to obtain them, not for the minerals themselves. |
19:46 |
Takov |
>asteroid mining |
19:46 |
GreenWolf |
and at large scales, that cost is marginal |
19:46 |
Takov |
Are you serious? |
19:46 |
Dr_Leonard |
clearly asteroid mining doesn't exist |
19:46 |
Takov |
What can we get from asteroids that don't we already have? |
19:46 |
Takov |
And can actually use? |
19:46 |
GreenWolf |
Takov, the entire point of this discussion was that we were discussing what the economic impact of asteroid mining would he |
19:46 |
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19:46 |
GreenWolf |
*be |
19:46 |
GreenWolf |
so yes, I am serious |
19:47 |
Takov |
I'm almost positive it wouldn't be worth the cost. |
19:47 |
GreenWolf |
Takov: Every single metal lighter than plutonium |
19:47 |
GreenWolf |
and in quantities that far outstrip any conceivable human demand |
19:47 |
DrEdmonds |
I think it would pay off on the long run |
19:47 |
GreenWolf |
hence the whole post-scarcity thing |
19:48 |
DrEdmonds |
Not immediately, but it would |
19:48 |
Takov |
>One requirement needed for financial feasibility is a high return on investments estimating around 30%.[59] Example calculation assumes for simplicity that the only valuable material on asteroids is platinum. On September 5, 2008 platinum was valued at US$1,340 per ounce, or US$43,000 per kilogram. For a 10% return on investment, 173,400 kg (5,575,000 ozt) of platinum would have to be… |
19:48 |
Takov |
…extracted for every 1,155,000 tons of asteroid ore. For a 50% return on investment 1,703,000 kg (54,750,000 ozt) of platinum would have to be extracted for every 11,350,000 tons of asteroid ore. |
19:48 |
Takov |
Good luck with that. |
19:49 |
GreenWolf |
for example, 16 Psyche is a giant spheroid of nickel-iron which contains several orders of magnitude more iron than all the iron in the Earth's crust |
19:49 |
TheRaven |
That's an astoundingly stupid example calculation |
19:49 |
Takov |
TheRaven: Blame Wikipedia :P |
19:49 |
GreenWolf |
okay, you know what, we were actually having a civil discussion here, and then you jump in without bothering to figure out what we're discussing and start calling us idiots |
19:50 |
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19:50 |
GreenWolf |
Could you maybe not do that please? |
19:50 |
Takov |
I never called anyone an idiot in this discussion. |
19:51 |
Dr_Leonard |
I didn't call anyone an idiot. |
19:51 |
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19:51 |
Dr_Leonard |
…wait who are you talking to? |
19:51 |
GreenWolf |
it was heavily implied by your tone |
19:51 |
GreenWolf |
Dr_Leonard: takov |
19:51 |
Dr_Leonard |
oh. |
19:51 |
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19:51 |
BlackWing |
And about postscarcity; It's currently theoretical https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post-scarcity_economy |
19:52 |
Takov |
GreenWolf: That doesn't translate to me giving an actual insult. |
19:52 |
Tuomey |
GreenWolf, Takov, either kiss or break it up |
19:52 |
|
Takov French kisses GreenWolf |
19:52 |
GreenWolf |
:/ |